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Lend A Helping Can

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Heat vs. Pelicans Predictions, Odds & Stats – Jan. 4

The New Orleans Pelicans (8-28) are underdogs (+9) as they attempt to end a six-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (19-16) at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, January 4, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The contest airs on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and WPLG.

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Heat vs. Pelicans Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final score of Heat 126, Pelicans 113.

  • Moneyline Pick: Heat (-360)
  • Total Pick: Under 246 (computer predicts 238.4 points)
  • Pick ATS: Heat (-9)

Recent Heat vs. Pelicans Matchups

Heat vs Pelicans (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/11/2025 Heat -15.5 214 -1316 +780 153-104 MIA
1/1/2025 Heat -9 220.5 -365 +287 119-108 MIA

Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Miami has a 20-14-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Heat have a 1-2 record against the spread when favored by 9 points or more this season.
  • Miami's games have hit the over in 17 out of 36 opportunities (47.2%).
  • The Heat have won nine, or 60%, of the 15 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Miami has a record of 2-1 when it's favored by -360 or more by oddsmakers this season.

Pelicans 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • New Orleans is 21-15-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Pelicans have a 9-6 record against the spread when an underdog by 9 points or more this year.
  • New Orleans has hit the over in 21 of its 36 games with a set total (58.3%).
  • The Pelicans have won 17.6% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (6-28).
  • New Orleans has gone 1-16 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +285 or longer (5.9%).

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Heat vs. Pelicans Injury Report

Heat

Heat:

Pelle Larsson: Day-To-Day (Ankle),

Tyler Herro: Day-To-Day (Toe),

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Day-To-Day (Ankle)

Pelicans

Pelicans:

Herbert Jones: Out (Ankle),

Dejounte Murray: Out (Leg),

Saddiq Bey: Out (Hip),

Derik Queen: Questionable (Quadricep),

Trey Murphy III: Questionable (Back)

Heat vs. Pelicans Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Sunday, January 4, 2026
  • Game time: 6 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and WPLG
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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